Returns have been very strong in the North End and Central Tacoma, as they have tended to be in transit elections since 2007. The trend as the election has continued has been in Prop 1's favor. The margin started at -1700 votes, then shifted to -1500 votes, and then down to ~830 votes by the end of last night's counting.
I would post more, but I am so busy running projections. The 25th legislative district is killing us, the 26th (Gig Harbor) is breaking even, 27th (North, Central and East Tacoma) helps keep the hope alive, the 28th District (UP/Lakewood) has been negative, but is trending positive, the 29th (South Tacoma & Lakewood) is negative on the whole and holding steady, the 30th and 31st in East Pierce County are negative, but appear like they have been counted in roughly their entirety.
For up to date return info, bookmark this ==> Nov 6 Election Results and refresh starting around 4:45pm.
If you want more up to date analysis of how the election is going, it's better to just follow me on Twitter: @TacomaTransit.
I hope we pull this one out, folks, because if we don't, we'll need a plan C.
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| Histogram of Margins by Precinct, Spike is -9=>1 Votes |
The histogram above shows that while precincts rejecting Proposition 1 are more numerous, the margins in a smaller number of precincts in Tacoma are almost large enough to offset the no votes.